Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Education City Stadium
Croatia0 - 1Turkey
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Armenia 0-1 Croatia
Monday, September 11 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, September 11 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
We said: Croatia 2-1 Turkey
Confirmed as co-hosts for the 2032 Euros this week, Turkey will face two more big games on the road to next year's finals, as Vincenzo Montella's first game is set to end in defeat. While Croatia can move clear at the top of Group D with yet another home win, their visitors could be embroiled in a three-way scramble for second spot. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | Turkey |
40.57% ( -0.04) | 25.38% ( -0.01) | 34.05% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.01% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
