MX23RW : Friday, December 1 00:01:09| >> :120:7299:7299:
Toulouse
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Toulouse
0 - 0
Union SG

Sierro (57')
FT

Vanhoutte (14'), Mac Allister (34'), El Amine Amoura (56'), Sadiki (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Toulouse and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 1-0 Toulouse
Sunday, November 26 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Gent 1-1 Union SG
Sunday, November 26 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Toulouse 2-1 Union SG

With their penchant for profligacy in the Europa League well-documented, Union SG will struggle to fight fire with fire on Toulouse's turf, where Les Violets have only been beaten in one of their last nine competitive matches. A closely-fought contest should still be in store, as was the case in September, but the return of a well-rested Dallinga should give Toulouse the extra attacking edge required to get over the line and ensure a top-two finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union SG win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Toulouse has a probability of 32.12% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Toulouse win is 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.73%).

Result
ToulouseDrawUnion SG
32.12% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 24.92% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 42.96% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.96% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (0.059999999999995 0.06)46.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.47% (0.056999999999999 0.06)68.53% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.4% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)62.88% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (0.049999999999997 0.05)21.54% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (0.076000000000001 0.08)54.61% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 32.12%
    Union SG 42.97%
    Draw 24.92%
ToulouseDrawUnion SG
1-0 @ 7.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.12%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.56% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 42.97%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Union SG

Toulouse
67.5%
Draw
20.0%
Union SG
12.5%
40
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 5.55pm
Group Stage
Union SG
1-1
Toulouse
El Amine Amoura (69')
Vanhoutte (14'), Mac Allister (53'), Sadiki (78'), Blessin (81')
Dallinga (45+3' pen.)
Donnum (33'), Costa (66'), Magri (86')
Costa (90+4')
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal1393127101730
2Manchester CityMan City1392233132029
3Liverpool1384128111728
4Aston Villa1391331181328
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs138232517826
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd138051616024
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1372431141723
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136432823522
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham136252323020
10Chelsea134452220216
11Brentford134451918116
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves134361823-515
13Crystal Palace134361318-515
14Fulham134361322-915
15Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest133461621-513
16Bournemouth133371428-1412
17Luton TownLuton132381223-119
18Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1312101134-235
19Everton134271420-64
20Burnley1311111032-224

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!