Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.