Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 17.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 3-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.