Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 54.78%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
