Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
