Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
