Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 54.05%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
