Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TOP Oss win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a TOP Oss win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that TOP Oss would win this match.
