Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
