We said: Hamburger SV 2-1 Karlsruher SC
Given both sides have impressed to reach this stage, we predict an even encounter and one that could certainly go either way.
Over the course of the season, Walter's men seem the slightly stronger of the two sides, and we just give them the edge with home advantage.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
