Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
