COSAFA Cup | Third-Place Playoff
Jul 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Malawi
0 - 0
South Africa
FT
Gumede (38')
South Africa win 5-3 on penalties
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malawi 1-1 Lesotho (0-3 pen.)
Friday, July 14 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Friday, July 14 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Last Game: South Africa 1-2 Zambia
Friday, July 14 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Friday, July 14 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: Malawi 1-2 South Africa
With both teams still hurting from losing their respective semi-final ties, we are expecting an open and end to end affair. That said, we are tipping South Africa to narrowly edge out Malawi and claim a podium finish. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | South Africa |
| 46.13% | 27.97% | 25.9% |
| Both teams to score 44.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
