MX23RW : Tuesday, October 17 14:48:42| >> :60:308:308:
South Africa national football team
COSAFA Cup | Semi-Finals
Jul 14, 2023 at 5pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Zambia national football team
South Africa
1 - 2
Zambia
Mabaso (44')
Sikhakhane (40'), Mohamme (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mashata (50'), Kangwanda (69')
Kampamba (37'), Kangwanda (71'), Mwansa (78'), Mwansa (78')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's COSAFA Cup clash between South Africa and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Eswatini
Tuesday, July 11 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Seychelles 2-4 Zambia
Tuesday, July 11 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

We said: South Africa 2-1 Zambia

South Africa will be aiming to make home advantage count as they have done all-tournament long to leave them 90 minutes from a place in the final. We are backing them to just about get the job done come the sound of the final whistle in what should be a game of fine margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 44.73%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 27.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
South AfricaDrawZambia
44.73%27.72%27.55%
Both teams to score 46.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.75%59.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.34%79.65%
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61%26.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45%61.54%
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.52%37.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.74%74.26%
Score Analysis
    South Africa 44.73%
    Zambia 27.55%
    Draw 27.71%
South AfricaDrawZambia
1-0 @ 13.17%
2-0 @ 8.78%
2-1 @ 8.61%
3-0 @ 3.9%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.3%
4-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.73%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 9.71%
1-2 @ 6.35%
0-2 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.55%

Head to Head
Jul 14, 2021 2pm
Group Stage
South Africa
0-0
Zambia
Thabani Dube (89')
Chanda (56')
Oct 11, 2020 2pm
Friendlies 1
South Africa
1-2
Zambia
Dolly (67')
Jali (38'), Sandile Hlanti (62'), Frosler (89')
Kampamba (78'), C (82')
Z (90')
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