MX23RW : Friday, January 12 01:28:51| >> :60:1390:1390:
Malawi national football team
COSAFA Cup | Semi-Finals
Jul 14, 2023 at 2pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Lesotho national football team
Malawi
1 - 1
Lesotho
Kawonga (26' pen.)
FT
(aet)
Thaba-Ntso (18')
Mkwanazi (24'), Neris Tseka (78')
Mkwanazi (45')
Lesotho win 3-0 on penalties
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's COSAFA Cup clash between Malawi and Lesotho, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Malawi

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Malawi 2-0 Comoros
Tuesday, July 11 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

Last Game: Angola 4-2 Lesotho
Wednesday, July 12 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

We say: Malawi 2-0 Lesotho

 Off the back of a solid group-stage run, Malawi will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence as they look to continue their quest for dominance in the South. We predict that the Flames will outclass a deflated Lesotho side and book their spot in the final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 44.39%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 27.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (9.96%).

Result
MalawiDrawLesotho
44.39% (-2.518 -2.52) 28.04% (0.718 0.72) 27.56% (1.799 1.8)
Both teams to score 45.14% (-0.684 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.63% (-1.501 -1.5)60.36% (1.497 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.48% (-1.152 -1.15)80.51% (1.15 1.15)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-1.958 -1.96)27.09% (1.955 1.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (-2.627 -2.63)62.46% (2.624 2.62)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.91% (0.703 0.7)38.08% (-0.706 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.15% (0.672 0.67)74.85% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Malawi 44.39%
    Lesotho 27.56%
    Draw 28.03%
MalawiDrawLesotho
1-0 @ 13.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.497 -0.5)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.309 -0.31)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.448 -0.45)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.355 -0.36)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.227 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 44.39%
1-1 @ 13% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 10.31% (0.562 0.56)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 9.96% (0.726 0.73)
1-2 @ 6.28% (0.241 0.24)
0-2 @ 4.81% (0.435 0.44)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.114 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.167 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 27.56%

How you voted: 1st ranked Group B vs 1st ranked Group C

1st ranked Group B
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
1st ranked Group C
9.1%
11

Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 1pm
Friendlies 3
Malawi
1-1
Lesotho
Jul 6, 2022 4pm
Group Stage
Lesotho
2-1
Malawi
Mkandawire (14' og.), Makateng (56')
Makepe (41')
Msowoya (88')
Msowoya (82')
Oct 14, 2019
2pm
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Lesotho  
L
vs.
M
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