Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 45.55%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 24.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.29%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.