Botswana national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage | 2nd Leg
Jun 11, 2025 at 2pm UK
Dr. Petrus Molemela Stadium
Zambia national football team

Botswana
3 - 3
Zambia

Kgamanyane (2')
(24'), Tiroyaone Sakana (40'), Johnson (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Zulu (45+3' pen.)
(76'), (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's COSAFA Cup clash between Botswana and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

Last Game: Botswana 2-0 Somalia
Tuesday, March 25 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Next Game: Comoros vs. Botswana
Monday, June 9 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Zambia

All competitions
Last Game: Russia 5-0 Zambia
Tuesday, March 25 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Zambia vs. Sudan
Friday, June 6 at 1am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Botswana win with a probability of 45.72%. A draw has a probability of 28.7% and a win for Zambia has a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Zambia win it is 0-1 (10.18%).

Result
BotswanaDrawZambia
45.72% (-0.499 -0.5)28.73% (0.182 0.18)25.55% (0.319 0.32)
Both teams to score 42.08% (-0.208 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.46% (-0.386 -0.39)63.54% (0.388 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.14% (-0.277 -0.28)82.85% (0.279 0.28)
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-0.441 -0.44)27.9% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (-0.568 -0.57)63.52% (0.571 0.57)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37% (0.07 0.07)41.63% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.89% (0.061 0.06)78.11% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Botswana 45.71%
    Zambia 25.55%
    Draw 28.72%
BotswanaDrawZambia
1-0 @ 14.82% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 45.71%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 11.61% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.72%
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 25.55%

Head to Head
Jul 12, 2022 4pm
Quarter-Finals
Zambia
1-1
Botswana
Kopelang (10' og.)
Kapumbu (67')
Mangolo (52')
Velaphi (41'), Kebue (55')
Jul 13, 2021 2pm
Group Stage
Zambia
2-1
Botswana
Shonga (21', 83' pen.)
Sakala (41'), Silwimba (56'), Phiri (71')
Kgamanyane (62')
Orebonye (47'), Johnson (64')
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