Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Platense had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.73%) and 1-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Platense win was 1-0 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.
