Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Patronato and Colon.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Colon had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Colon win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Patronato would win this match.
