Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Colon and Estudiantes.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.
