MX23RW : Wednesday, May 24 22:12:21| >> :60:365:365:
Sao Paulo
Copa Sudamericana | Final
Oct 1, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Sao Paulo
0 - 2
Independiente

Reinaldo (45+1'), Calleri (88'), Diego (89')
Calleri (90+3'), Diego (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diaz (13'), Faravelli (67')
Carabajal (43'), Schunke (79'), Pellerano (89')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Sao Paulo and Independiente del Valle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melgar 0-3 Independiente
Thursday, September 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Sao Paulo 3-2 Independiente del Valle

Given Sao Paulo's quality in attack it would be a surprise if they were thwarted by their opponents on Saturday. Their incredible history in South American football also gives them something of an edge, with that respect factor perhaps giving them an extra one or two percent. Yet, Independiente del Valle have proven themselves as a proficient side in attack and while they are weaker on paper than their counterparts, they should give the Brazilian giants a strong run for their money. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 22.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawIndependiente del Valle
52.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 24.26% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 22.97%
Both teams to score 51.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.48% (0.00099999999999767 0)49.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.45%71.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)50.09% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.87%36.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)72.91% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 52.76%
    Independiente del Valle 22.97%
    Draw 24.25%
Sao PauloDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.4%
3-0 @ 5.3%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-0 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 52.76%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.87%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 22.97%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Independiente

Sao Paulo
60.0%
Draw
26.7%
Independiente del Valle
13.3%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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2Arsenal37256683434081
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371913567323570
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd36216952411169
5Liverpool37199971432866
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371881171512062
7Aston Villa37177134945458
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs37176146662457
9Brentford371414957461156
10Fulham37157155451352
11Crystal Palace371111153948-944
12Chelsea361110153642-643
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37118183153-2241
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham37117194153-1240
15Bournemouth37116203770-3339
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest37910183767-3037
17Everton37712183357-2433
18Leicester CityLeicester3787224967-1831
19Leeds UnitedLeeds37710204774-2731
RSouthampton3766253269-3724

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