Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 8, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza1 - 1Libertad
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Goias 1-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, August 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, August 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Libertad 0-1 Fortaleza
Tuesday, August 1 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, August 1 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Fortaleza 1-0 Club Libertad (Fortaleza to win 2-0 on aggregate)
Their style may be a little more conservative than we are used to, but there is no denying this Fortaleza squad are committed to defending and have done it effectively. We expect them to frustrate the Paraguayans again this week and catch them on the break, a strategy which has worked out well for the Brazilians throughout this tournament. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Club Libertad |
54.57% ( 0.11) | 24.24% ( -0.02) | 21.2% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
