Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 27, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
Catolica
2 - 0
Atletico Nacional
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
| 50.1% | 22.14% | 27.76% |
| Both teams to score 64.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
