Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 26, 2024 at 11pm UK

Allegiant Stadium

Ecuador
vs.
Jamaica

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa America clash between Ecuador and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Ecuador 1-2 Venezuela
Saturday, June 22 at 11pm in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Jamaica

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Jamaica
Sunday, June 23 at 2am in Copa America

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Venezuela	1	1	3
2	Mexico	1	1	3
3	Ecuador	1	-1	0
4	Jamaica	1	-1	0

Even with their goal ruled out, the Reggae Boys were quite wasteful in their opener and could have difficulty penetrating a well-organised Ecuadorian backline that have bounced back well from setbacks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ecuador win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Jamaica has a probability of 29.92% and a draw has a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.14%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Jamaica win is 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.24%).

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Jamaica
41.34% ( 0.07)	28.73% ( 0.02)	29.92% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 44.5% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.24% (

-0.09)

61.75% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.44% (

-0.07)

81.55% (

0.06)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.58% (

-0.01)

29.41% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.59% (

-0.01)

65.4% (

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.04% (

-0.12)

36.95% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.26% (

-0.12)

73.74% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Ecuador 41.34%

Jamaica 29.91%

Draw 28.72%

Ecuador	Draw	Jamaica
1-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.1% 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 41.34%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.72%	0-1 @ 10.81% 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 29.91%