CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 8, 2024 at 1am UK
Tim Hortons Field
Forge
1 - 3
Guadalajara
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Forge and CD Guadalajara.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 0-2 Guadalajara
Monday, February 5 at 1am in Liga MX
Monday, February 5 at 1am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
23
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Forge had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Forge win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forge | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
34.28% ( -0.03) | 27.81% ( -0.08) | 37.92% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.28% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
