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World Cup

China national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 19, 2024 at 12am UK
Guangxi Sports Center
Japan national football team

China
0 - 0
Japan

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions
Last Game: Bahrain 0-1 China
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. China
Thursday, March 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Japan

All competitions
Last Game: Indonesia 0-4 Japan
Friday, November 15 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Japan vs. Bahrain
Thursday, March 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw has a probability of 16.5% and a win for China has a probability of 11.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 0-2 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.7%), while for a China win it is 2-1 (3.26%).

Result
ChinaDrawJapan
11.05% (-1.638 -1.64)16.46% (-1.624 -1.62)72.49% (3.262 3.26)
Both teams to score 52.19% (0.489 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.9% (3.362 3.36)36.1% (-3.361 -3.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.79% (3.597 3.6)58.21% (-3.597 -3.6)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.15% (-0.502 -0.5)42.85% (0.502 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.84% (-0.426 -0.43)79.16% (0.426 0.43)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.32% (1.643 1.64)8.68% (-1.643 -1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.12% (3.87 3.87)29.88% (-3.87 -3.87)
Score Analysis
    China 11.05%
    Japan 72.49%
    Draw 16.46%
ChinaDrawJapan
2-1 @ 3.26% (-0.4 -0.4)
1-0 @ 3.15% (-0.605 -0.61)
2-0 @ 1.34% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 0.92% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 11.05%
1-1 @ 7.7% (-0.826 -0.83)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.653 -0.65)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.46%
0-2 @ 11.1% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.837 -0.84)
0-3 @ 9.05% (0.519 0.52)
1-3 @ 7.67% (0.34 0.34)
0-4 @ 5.53% (0.687 0.69)
1-4 @ 4.69% (0.526 0.53)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.101 0.1)
0-5 @ 2.71% (0.504 0.5)
1-5 @ 2.29% (0.401 0.4)
2-4 @ 1.99% (0.198 0.2)
0-6 @ 1.1% (0.269 0.27)
2-5 @ 0.97% (0.159 0.16)
1-6 @ 0.93% (0.218 0.22)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 72.49%

Who will win Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Japan?

China
Draw
Japan
China
27.8%
Draw
12.7%
Japan
59.5%
79
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 11.35am
Third Round
Japan
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China
Endo (12'), Mitoma (45+2'), Minamino (52', 58'), Ito (77'), Maeda (87'), Kubo (90+5')

Yang (18'), Zhang (39'), Carvalho (70')
> Preview
Jan 27, 2022 10.01am
Third Round
Japan
2-0
China
Osako (13' pen.), Ito (61')

Lei (35')
> Preview
Sep 7, 2021 4pm
Third Round
China
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Japan

Xi (67'), Aloisio (69'), Wang (81')
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Ito (57')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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4Chelsea38209964432169
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6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
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11Fulham38159145454054
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13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
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RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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