Chile national football team
Friendlies 1
Feb 8, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
Panama national football team

Chile
6 - 1
Panama

Guerra (2', 25', 42'), Uribe (5'), Cepeda (52'), Patricio Pino Briceno (81')
Marcelo Hormazabal Berrios (28'), Cuevas (73'), Escobar (76'), Wiemberg (80'), Diaz (86')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Waterman Ruiz (30' pen.)
Perdomo (25'), Janpol Morales Napa (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Chile and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions
Last Game: Chile 4-2 Venezuela
Wednesday, November 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina121425
2Ecuador12722
3Uruguay12820
4Colombia12519
5Brazil12618
6Paraguay12117
7Bolivia12-1413
8Venezuela12-412
9Chile12-119
10Peru12-127

Panama

All competitions
Last Game: Panama 2-2 Costa Rica
Tuesday, November 19 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Panama had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.

Result
ChileDrawPanama
46.82% (0.363 0.36)25.53% (-0.209 -0.21)27.65% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 52.46% (0.538 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.04% (0.757 0.76)50.96% (-0.753 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.17% (0.661 0.66)72.83% (-0.657 -0.66)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.23% (0.48 0.48)21.77% (-0.477 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.04% (0.724 0.72)54.95% (-0.722 -0.72)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.06% (0.28 0.28)32.94% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.48% (0.308 0.31)69.52% (-0.306 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Chile 46.82%
    Panama 27.65%
    Draw 25.53%
ChileDrawPanama
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.71% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.07 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 27.65%

How you voted: Chile vs Panama

Chile
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Panama
0.0%
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