Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Bristol City |
| 45.72% | 27.38% | 26.9% |
| Both teams to score 46.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.59% | 58.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.99% | 79.01% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% | 25.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.63% | 60.37% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.44% | 37.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.66% | 74.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% 2-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 8.75% 3-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.18% Total : 45.71% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.7% Total : 26.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Burnley | 40 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 78 | 30 | 48 | 90 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 40 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 60 | 35 | 25 | 76 |
| 3 | Luton TownLuton | 41 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 71 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 41 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 74 | 50 | 24 | 68 |
| 5 | Millwall | 41 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 62 |
| 6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 40 | 19 | 5 | 16 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 62 |
| 7 | Preston North EndPreston | 41 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 62 |
| 8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 54 | 42 | 12 | 61 |
| 9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 41 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 59 |
| 10 | Sunderland | 41 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 58 |
| 11 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 57 |
| 12 | Watford | 41 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 56 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 41 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 53 |
| 14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 56 | 59 | -3 | 53 |
| 15 | Stoke CityStoke | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 52 |
| 16 | Hull City | 41 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 52 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 41 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 50 |
| 18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 40 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 45 |
| 19 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 41 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 43 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 41 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 40 | 64 | -24 | 43 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 40 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 42 |
| 22 | Reading | 41 | 13 | 8 | 20 | 43 | 62 | -19 | 41 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 41 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 35 |
| 24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 41 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 34 |
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