

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 33.14% ( | 24.42% ( | 42.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.41% ( | 43.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.01% ( | 65.98% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( | 25.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.66% ( | 60.33% ( |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.33% ( | 20.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.75% ( | 53.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 2-0 @ 4.92% ( 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 4-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.14% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0-2 @ 6.55% ( 1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 2-3 @ 3.22% ( 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 2-4 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 42.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Burnley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Watford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Stoke CityStoke | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Middlesbrough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Portsmouth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Hull City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Millwall | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Derby CountyDerby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Preston North EndPreston | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Norwich CityNorwich | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Luton TownLuton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
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