Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.18%) and 0-1 (4.72%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.