Canada national football team
Friendlies 1 | 2nd Leg
Jun 7, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
BMO Field
Ukraine national football team

Canada
4 - 2
Ukraine

David (4', 24'), Akinpelu (31'), Buchanan (81')
Nelson (68')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Zabarnyi (89'), Zinchenko (90+2' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's International Friendlies clash between Canada and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Canada 2-1 USA
Sunday, March 23 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Belgium 3-0 Ukraine
Sunday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Canada win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Ukraine has a probability of 29.43% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Ukraine win is 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.61%).

Result
CanadaDrawUkraine
45.91% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)24.66% (0.218 0.22)29.43% (-0.21 -0.21)
Both teams to score 56.48% (-0.867 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.74% (-1.083 -1.08)46.25% (1.078 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.45% (-1.03 -1.03)68.54% (1.023 1.02)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (-0.44699999999999 -0.45)20.23% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.44% (-0.71599999999999 -0.72)52.55% (0.711 0.71)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (-0.69200000000001 -0.69)29.2% (0.686 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.85% (-0.857 -0.86)65.14% (0.851 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Canada 45.91%
    Ukraine 29.43%
    Draw 24.65%
CanadaDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.299 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 45.91%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.265 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 7.27% (0.191 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.48% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.075 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 29.43%