Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Esperance Tunis had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Esperance Tunis win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.
