The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Brasileiro clash between Santos and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 51.48%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 51.48% | 26.99% | 21.53% |
| Both teams to score 42.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
