The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendlies clash between Peru and El Salvador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Peru
Sunday, September 25 at 2am in International Friendlies
Sunday, September 25 at 2am in International Friendlies
International Friendlies
Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 USA
Wednesday, June 15 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Wednesday, June 15 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
We said: Peru 1-2 El Salvador
With El Salvador having a much more settled side and Peru having a manager who is only taking charge of his second game for the national team, there is a chance for El Salvador to pick up a really good result here. After their draw against the USA, a win in this fixture could definitely be on the cards. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Peru had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that El Salvador would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | El Salvador |
36.49% ( -20.13) | 26.37% ( 1.17) | 37.15% ( 18.97) |
| Both teams to score 53% ( 10.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
