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Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Sep 29, 2022 at 1.45am UK
Mineirão
Palmeiras
Atletico Mineiro
0 - 1
Palmeiras

Jair (9'), Dodo (41'), Zaracho (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cerqueira (51')
Garcia (62'), Cerqueira (72'), Dudu (77')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Avai 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Santos
Sunday, September 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Palmeiras

With the hosts failing to win any of their last five home games, and the visitors unbeaten in their last fifteen away, it is hard to look past the runaway league leaders for this one. It will not be so straightforward due to missing key players, but the quality of Gustavo Scarpa should be enough to take Palmeiras one step closer to another league title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawPalmeiras
41.16% (2.224 2.22) 27.6% (-0.572 -0.57) 31.24% (-1.654 -1.65)
Both teams to score 48.15% (1.186 1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.58% (1.707 1.71)57.42% (-1.709 -1.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.77% (1.338 1.34)78.23% (-1.339 -1.34)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.57% (2.082 2.08)27.43% (-2.086 -2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.09% (2.616 2.62)62.91% (-2.619 -2.62)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (-0.28 -0.28)33.65% (0.278 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (-0.304 -0.3)70.3% (0.303 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 41.15%
    Palmeiras 31.24%
    Draw 27.59%
Atletico MineiroDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 11.93% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.362 0.36)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.388 0.39)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.352 0.35)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.346 0.35)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.178 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.174 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.15%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 9.23% (-0.619 -0.62)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 10.05% (-0.75 -0.75)
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.457 -0.46)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 31.24%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro
20.7%
Draw
27.6%
Palmeiras
51.7%
29
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2022 1.30am
Palmeiras
0-0
Atletico Mineiro
Palmeiras win 6-5 on penalties

Gomez (58'), Ferreira (79'), Dudu (88')
Danilo (29'), Scarpa (82')

Zaracho (52'), Arana (73'), Silva (78'), Vargas (85'), Hulk (88')
Vargas (90+6')
Aug 4, 2022 1.30am
Atletico Mineiro
2-2
Palmeiras
Hulk (45+1' pen.), Cerqueira (47' og.)
Jair (49'), Mariano (90+1')
Cerqueira (59'), Danilo (90+2')
Jun 5, 2022 8pm
Nov 24, 2021 12.30am
Palmeiras
2-2
Atletico Mineiro
Wesley (28'), Deyverson (57')
Rocha (18'), Menino (38'), Renan (39'), Deyverson (58')
Zaracho (36'), Hulk (61')
Costa (39'), Fernandez (45+4'), Alonso (54')
Sep 29, 2021 1.30am
Atletico Mineiro
1-1
Palmeiras
Vargas (52')
Silva (28')
Dudu (68')
Rocha (64'), Garcia (69'), Weverton (70'), Melo (88')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo87011661021
2PalmeirasPalmeiras84401771016
3Sao Paulo8431147715
4Atletico Mineiro8422127514
5Gremio84221211114
6FortalezaFortaleza8341126613
7Cruzeiro8413127513
8FlamengoFlamengo84131410413
9Fluminense8413128413
10BragantinoBragantino83411311213
11Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR84041111012
12SantosSantos832387111
13InternacionalInternacional8314711-410
14Corinthians8224812-48
15Cuiaba8224713-68
16Bahia8215914-57
17GoiasGoias8215715-87
18Vasco da GamaVasco8134813-56
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro8116720-134
20Coritiba8035717-103

Real Madrid Until The End
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