The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 48.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 24.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 48.02% | 27.45% | 24.53% |
| Both teams to score 44.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
