The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 44.82% | 27.57% | 27.61% |
| Both teams to score 46.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.29% | 58.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.76% | 79.24% |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% | 26.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.84% | 61.15% |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% | 37.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.08% | 73.92% |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 44.81%
Athletico Paranaense 27.61%
Draw 27.56%
| Bahia | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 13.01% 2-0 @ 8.74% 2-1 @ 8.66% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-1 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.77% Total : 27.61% |
How you voted: Bahia vs Athletico PR
Bahia
19.4%Draw
16.1%Athletico Paranaense
64.5%31
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2021 9pm
Sep 26, 2020 11pm
Athletico PR
1-0
Bahia
Saldanha (40')
Oct 5, 2019 11pm
Form Guide
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