Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Santos.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Santos had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
