Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
