MX23RW : Monday, April 28 02:19:15| >> :120:11856:11856:
Club Brugge
Belgian Super Cup | Final
Jul 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion

Brugge
1 - 2
Union SG

Tzolis (79')
Romero (11')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Puertas (40' pen.), Leysen (47')
Leysen (13'), Vanhoutte (42'), Sadiki (49'), Moris (50'), Kabangu (58'), Terho (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Belgian Super Cup clash between Club Brugge and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Brugge

All competitions
Last Game: Brugge 3-0 Norwich
Wednesday, July 17 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Union SG

All competitions
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Union SG
Wednesday, July 17 at 8.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Club Brugge 2-1 Union SG

 After a sensational comeback to win the title last term and a solid pre-season this year, Club Brugge will enter this contest with huge confidence in their chances to win back the Super Cup after relinquishing a three-season hold on it in the last edition. This will be the first real test for Union's new head coach and summer arrivals, and we feel they will need a few more matches before they find top gear to challenge the Blauw-Zwart. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Club BruggeDrawUnion SG
44.63% (-3.306 -3.31) 25.31% (0.203 0.2) 30.06% (3.107 3.11)
Both teams to score 54.66% (1.441 1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.2% (0.917 0.92)48.8% (-0.914 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.1% (0.828 0.83)70.9% (-0.825 -0.83)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (-1.087 -1.09)21.85% (1.091 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91% (-1.682 -1.68)55.09% (1.686 1.69)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (2.784 2.78)30.05% (-2.778 -2.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82% (3.22 3.22)66.18% (-3.216 -3.22)
Score Analysis
    Club Brugge 44.63%
    Union SG 30.06%
    Draw 25.31%
Club BruggeDrawUnion SG
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.723 -0.72)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.829 -0.83)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.563 -0.56)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.271 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 44.63%
1-1 @ 12% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.265 0.27)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.9% (0.303 0.3)
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.571 0.57)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.518 0.52)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.425 0.43)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.26 0.26)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.332 0.33)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 30.06%

How you voted: Brugge vs Union SG

Club Brugge
72.9%
Draw
16.7%
Union SG
10.4%
48
Head to Head
May 13, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Brugge
2-2
Union SG
Skov Olsen (57', 72')
Onyedika (33'), Hayen (71')
Teklab (48'), Machida (84')
Castro-Montes (71'), Burgess (90+5')
Apr 21, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Union SG
1-2
Brugge
Puertas (82')
El Amine Amoura (60'), Lapoussin (90+2'), Castro-Montes (90+4')
Vetlesen (52'), Meijer (74')
Vetlesen (49'), Odoi (90+5')
Vetlesen (65')
Dec 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Brugge
1-1
Union SG
Thiago (56' pen.)
Odoi (75'), Spileers (84'), Thiago (90+10')
Nilsson (27')
Burgess (21'), Blessin (51'), Vanhoutte (66'), Thierry Lazare (70'), Mac Allister (77'), Puertas (89'), Lapoussin (90+10')
Moris (90+5')
Nov 5, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 13
Union SG
2-1
Brugge
El Amine Amoura (22', 68')
El Amine Amoura (35'), Lapoussin (90+1'), Burgess (90+4')
De Cuyper (60')
Odoi (20'), Vetlesen (56'), Thiago (90+4'), Spileers (90+5')
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Union SG
1-3
Brugge
Adingra (46')
Homma (89'), Lang (90+3'), Sandra (90+10')
Buchanan (75'), Sandra (85'), Lang (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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