Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.