Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 23
Sep 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadyen Junatstva

Smorgon
0 - 3
Vitebsk


Shalashnikov (49'), Dukso (75'), Novichkov (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vardanyan (27' pen.), Egorov (48'), Girs (82')
Girs (12')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Smorgon and Vitebsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Smorgon

All competitions
Last Game: Dnepr Mogilev 2-1 Smorgon
Sunday, September 22 at 3pm in Belarusian Premier League

Vitebsk

All competitions
Last Game: Vitebsk 1-0 Dinamo Minsk
Friday, September 20 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 15.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.57%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitebsk would win this match.

Result
SmorgonDrawVitebsk
15.53% (0.058999999999999 0.06)22.92% (0.047000000000001 0.05)61.55% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 43.79% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.01% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)53.99% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.57% (-0.07 -0.07)75.43% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.85% (0.027000000000001 0.03)47.15% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.4% (0.018999999999998 0.02)82.6% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Vitebsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.85% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)17.14% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.62% (-0.12 -0.12)47.38% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Smorgon 15.53%
    Vitebsk 61.54%
    Draw 22.91%
SmorgonDrawVitebsk
1-0 @ 6.08% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.03% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 15.53%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 22.91%
0-1 @ 14.25% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.45% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-3 @ 7.39% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 61.54%

Head to Head
May 10, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 8
Vitebsk
0-1
Smorgon

Mosesov (88')
Shalashnikov (49')
Camara (6'), Seleznev (20'), Lutsevich (52'), John (63')
John (74')
Oct 16, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 26
Smorgon
2-0
Vitebsk
Pasevich (35', 65')
Pasevich (36'), Aziz Dao (49')

Kalenchuk (18')
Kalenchuk (37')
May 28, 2021 4.10pm
Gameweek 11
Vitebsk
5-0
Smorgon
Wanderson (15'), Carioca (31'), Matveenko (49', 67'), Chervyakov (77')
Chervyakov (73'), Skitov (82')

Savostyanov (43'), Ignatenko (68'), Yatskevich (90')