Atletico Mineiro
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 16, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro
3 - 1
Caracas

Essien Edet (28' og., 28' og.), Cuello (48', 48'), Rony (77', 77')
Lyanco (55'), Lyanco (55'), Hugo (90+6'), Hugo (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
De Santis (59' pen., 59' pen.)
Essien Edet (45+1'), Essien Edet (45+1'), De Santis (55'), De Santis (55')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Atletico Mineiro and Caracas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-2 Fluminense
Sunday, May 11 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Caracas

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cienciano 3-1 Caracas
Friday, May 9 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 76.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 7.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.94%) and 3-0 (11.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawCaracas
76.51% (0.048000000000002 0.05)15.61% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)7.88% (-0.031899999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 41.8% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.41% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)42.59% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.01% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)64.99% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.65%9.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.49%31.51%
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.11% (-0.105 -0.11)53.89% (0.105 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.79% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)87.2% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 76.49%
    Caracas 7.88%
    Draw 15.61%
Atletico MineiroDrawCaracas
2-0 @ 14.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.94% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 11.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.62% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-0 @ 3.14% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 76.49%
1-1 @ 7.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 15.61%
0-1 @ 3.12% (-0.004 -0)
1-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 7.88%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Caracas
1-1
Atletico Mineiro
De Santis (66')
De Santis (22'), Manuel Hernandez Chavez (39')
Rodriguez (24' og.)
Lyanco (11'), Cuello (62'), Rubens (84'), Hugo (88'), Roberto da Silva Campos (90+2')
May 28, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Atletico Mineiro
4-0
Caracas
Pedrinho (28', 61'), Santana (40'), Hulk (90+3')
Zaracho (24'), Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro (44'), Arana (90'), Hulk (90+4')

Farinez Aray (10')
> Preview
Apr 4, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Caracas
1-4
Atletico Mineiro
Perez (54')
Fuchs (12'), Arana (32'), Paulinho (44', 70')
rhs 2.0
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