Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.