Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.