Mali
0 - 0
Eq Guinea
Eq Guinea win 6-5 on penalties
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Mali and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We say: Mali 2-1 Equatorial Guinea
Equatorial Guinea have enjoyed a stellar campaign so far, causing a few upsets and making it all the way to the knockout stages. However, the Malians boast a superior and experienced squad and we are tipping them to come away with the win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Equatorial Guinea win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%).
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
| 46.37% | 23.58% | 30.05% |
| Both teams to score 60.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
