World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 14, 2021 at 4pm UK
Mali
1 - 0
Uganda
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for Uganda had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Uganda win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | Uganda |
| 50.91% | 23.57% | 25.51% |
| Both teams to score 56.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
