Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Second Round clash between Mali and Rwanda.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Rwanda had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Rwanda win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mali in this match.
