Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 72.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.87%) and 0-3 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 1-0 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.