The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Tunisia and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
| 54.86% | 24.15% | 20.99% |
| Both teams to score 49.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
